NFL Postseason Scenarios: Crucial Matchups & Scenarios for the Final Week.

NFL teams in action
Pittsburgh battles Pittsburgh to determine the AFC North, while Seattle and Seattle meet for the #1 spot in the NFC.

As we head into the final week of the regular NFL campaign, just two play-off spots remain open. Yet, far more is on the line, such as the coveted top seeds in both conferences and four divisional crowns.

NFL schedulers have crafted a perfect finale, with the two remaining postseason places to be decided in two direct head-to-head contests.

NFL Postseason Picture as of Week 18

AFC Standings

  1. Denver Broncos (13-3)
  2. New England Patriots (13-3)
  3. Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4)
  4. Pittsburgh (9-7) / Baltimore (8-8)
  5. Houston Texans (11-5)
  6. L.A. Chargers (11-5)
  7. Buffalo (11-5)

The winner of the Pittsburgh-Baltimore game will claim the #4 spot and a home game in the first playoff round. Meanwhile, the Bills and Los Angeles are set as wildcard entrants.

The Texans require a win coupled with a Jacksonville defeat to climb from the fifth seed to the third seed. Denver will earn the top seed with a win, but a loss could pave the way for the Patriots or Jacksonville to claim it.

NFC Standings

  1. Seattle Seahawks (13-3)
  2. Chicago Bears (11-5)
  3. Philadelphia Eagles (11-5)
  4. Carolina (8-8) / Tampa Bay (7-9)
  5. San Francisco (12-4)
  6. L.A. Rams (11-5)
  7. Green Bay (9-6)

The NFC South is up for grabs by the winner of the Carolina-Tampa Bay matchup, earning them the #4 position. However, Carolina could still claim the divisional title even with a loss, depending on other results.

Green Bay are locked into the seventh seed. The marquee matchup, though, is the battle for the #1 seed in the NFC between Seattle and San Francisco, with a week off and home-field advantage hanging in the balance.

Understanding the NFL Play-Off Format

The top seed in each conference receives a crucial first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the play-offs.

On Wildcard Weekend, the remaining six playoff teams compete: the second seed plays the seventh, third hosts sixth, and fourth hosts fifth.

In the Divisional Round, the #1 seeds join the competition, hosting the lowest remaining seed. The AFC and NFC championship games are then played at the best remaining team, underscoring the critical importance of securing that #1 ranking.

AFC North Decider: A Brutal Finale

Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (01:20, Monday)

This bitter grudge match reaches its climax in the last contest of the NFL season. The divisional title and a play-off berth at stake, this is a true win-or-go-home scenario.

The Steelers have been inconsistent this season, while Baltimore started poorly but are still in the hunt. Key injuries could be decisive: Pittsburgh may miss key target their top wideout, while Baltimore's quarterback Lamar Jackson is questionable with a health issue.

Running back Derrick Henry could be the difference-maker for the Ravens in what is set up as a hard-hitting, defensive struggle.

Battle for #1 in the NFC

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks (01:00, Sunday)

More than just the NFC West is on the line when Seattle travels to San Francisco. The winner claims the NFC's top seed and the path to the championship game that it provides.

This matchup pits an high-powered San Francisco attack against a stingy Seahawks defense. With QB Brock Purdy came back, the 49ers have been the league's highest scorers. Conversely, Seattle's unit is rated second best in the NFL.

The Seahawks' quarterback Sam Darnold must avoid costly turnovers that have haunted him this year. Whoever wins this clash gains a huge edge for the playoff run.

NFC South: A Race to Stumble Over the Line

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (21:30 Saturday)

Both clubs enters this contest with strong form. The Buccaneers have dropped four straight, while the Panthers have missed chances to clinch the title.

The Panthers it's simple: win and they're in. For Tampa Bay, the scenario is more complex. Even with a victory, they need help from the Atlanta-New Orleans matchup to claim the divisional championship.

AFC's Top Seed Up for Grabs

Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (18:00, Sunday)
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (21:25, Sunday)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos (21:25, Sunday)

The Denver Broncos control their destiny for the AFC's top seed. A victory over a L.A. Chargers team likely to rest key players seals it.

Should Denver falter, the opportunity arises for the Patriots. A Patriots win coupled with a Denver defeat would give the top seed to New England.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are the dark horse. They need a triumph and losses by both Denver and New England to pull off an improbable rise to the top. More importantly, a Jaguars loss could see them passed by the Texans in the AFC South.

Full Slate of Final Week Games

Saturday, 3 January
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (21:30)
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers (01:00, Sunday)

Sunday, 4 January
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons (18:00)
Cleveland Browns @ Cincinnati Bengals (18:00)
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings (18:00)
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (18:00)
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (18:00)
Indianapolis Colts @ Houston Texans (18:00)
New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills (21:25)
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (21:25)
Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears (21:25)
Los Angeles Chargers @ Denver Broncos (21:25)
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders (21:25)
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams (21:25)
Washington Commanders @ Philadelphia Eagles (21:25)
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers (01:20, Monday)

Anthony Beck
Anthony Beck

A seasoned Las Vegas travel writer and casino enthusiast with over a decade of experience exploring the Strip.